Value snapshot
Unlock cost
Average return
Average profit
Return rate
Best possible profit
Cheapest drop
Average profit is what you'd gain or lose per unlocks on average, weighted by each item's drop odds. Return rate expresses the same idea as a percentage of the star cost: Positive means the tile "pays" for itself over many unlocks, negative means it doesn't.
What you can get
Tier odds
0.13%AK-47 | AUTOEXEC
Factory New
AK-47 | AUTOEXEC
Minimal Wear
AK-47 | AUTOEXEC
Field-Tested
AK-47 | AUTOEXEC
Well-Worn
AK-47 | AUTOEXEC
Battle-Scarred
Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol
Factory New
Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol
Minimal Wear
Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol
Field-Tested
Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol
Well-Worn
Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol
Battle-Scarred
Tier odds
0.64%M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch
Factory New
M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch
Minimal Wear
M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch
Field-Tested
M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch
Well-Worn
M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch
Battle-Scarred
USP-S | Spiral Glitch
Factory New
USP-S | Spiral Glitch
Minimal Wear
USP-S | Spiral Glitch
Field-Tested
USP-S | Spiral Glitch
Well-Worn
USP-S | Spiral Glitch
Battle-Scarred
Tier odds
3.17%AWP | Black Box
Factory New
AWP | Black Box
Minimal Wear
AWP | Black Box
Field-Tested
AWP | Black Box
Well-Worn
AWP | Black Box
Battle-Scarred
CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics
Factory New
CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics
Minimal Wear
CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics
Field-Tested
CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics
Well-Worn
CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics
Battle-Scarred
Nova | Smart Gun
Factory New
Nova | Smart Gun
Minimal Wear
Nova | Smart Gun
Field-Tested
Nova | Smart Gun
Well-Worn
Nova | Smart Gun
Battle-Scarred
Tier odds
15.87%AUG | Signal Scanner
Factory New
AUG | Signal Scanner
Minimal Wear
AUG | Signal Scanner
Field-Tested
AUG | Signal Scanner
Well-Worn
AUG | Signal Scanner
Battle-Scarred
M4A4 | Dark Operative
Factory New
M4A4 | Dark Operative
Minimal Wear
M4A4 | Dark Operative
Field-Tested
M4A4 | Dark Operative
Well-Worn
M4A4 | Dark Operative
Battle-Scarred
MP9 | Spy Prototype
Factory New
MP9 | Spy Prototype
Minimal Wear
MP9 | Spy Prototype
Field-Tested
MP9 | Spy Prototype
Well-Worn
MP9 | Spy Prototype
Battle-Scarred
R8 Revolver | Monarch
Factory New
R8 Revolver | Monarch
Minimal Wear
R8 Revolver | Monarch
Field-Tested
R8 Revolver | Monarch
Well-Worn
R8 Revolver | Monarch
Battle-Scarred
Tier odds
79.37%FAMAS | Corp Defense
Factory New
FAMAS | Corp Defense
Minimal Wear
FAMAS | Corp Defense
Field-Tested
FAMAS | Corp Defense
Well-Worn
FAMAS | Corp Defense
Battle-Scarred
MAC-10 | Video Cam
Factory New
MAC-10 | Video Cam
Minimal Wear
MAC-10 | Video Cam
Field-Tested
MAC-10 | Video Cam
Well-Worn
MAC-10 | Video Cam
Battle-Scarred
MP7 | Base-2
Factory New
MP7 | Base-2
Minimal Wear
MP7 | Base-2
Field-Tested
MP7 | Base-2
Well-Worn
MP7 | Base-2
Battle-Scarred
SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels
Factory New
SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels
Minimal Wear
SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels
Field-Tested
SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels
Well-Worn
SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels
Battle-Scarred
Tec-9 | Perimeter
Factory New
Tec-9 | Perimeter
Minimal Wear
Tec-9 | Perimeter
Field-Tested
Tec-9 | Perimeter
Well-Worn
Tec-9 | Perimeter
Battle-Scarred
XM1014 | Black Site
Factory New
XM1014 | Black Site
Minimal Wear
XM1014 | Black Site
Field-Tested
XM1014 | Black Site
Well-Worn
XM1014 | Black Site
Battle-Scarred
Disclaimer: odds shown for the Spy Tech Collection are community estimates. Valve has never published official Armory drop rates. Spy Tech Collection prices update from CSFloat and move with the broader CS2 market, so treat the return-rate figure as a rolling snapshot rather than a guarantee.